March 12, 2012 12:25 PM
GBPUSD up/down/up/down pattern being tested on break above.
The GBPUSD has been moving up and down in the NY session and has just broken above the topside channel trendline. That is the bullish news. The bearish news is the price held the resistance against the 100 bar MA (see blue line in the chart above). So the question comes for the buyers from below, "{Will the price extend higher or will the price fail and come back down?" Needless to say the action is not typical so this puts the element of doubt in market traders as to the sustainability of a move. So be aware and prepared.
March 12, 2012 11:59 AM
EURUSD moves to new day highs
The last hour of the London session is approaching and the price has pushed to new highs for the day. The London high, prior to this last push, came in at the 1.3134 level. The new high now comes in at the 1.3145 (so far). The range for the day still remains at a small 67 pips. The average over the last 20 days comes in at 120 pips. There is room to roam.
Traders will look for close support against the 1.3124-34 level with a push toward the 1.3153-61 the next key target above. The 1.3153 is topside trendline resistance. The 1.3161 is the 100 hour MA (see chart above). Traders will be eyeing these levels for directional clues.
March 12, 2012 11:34 AM
ECB’s Juncker on the Wires
Says:
- He sees no link between the Greece and Spain situation
- Expects Spain to reach its 2013 deficit goal
- ‘Final decision' wednesday on Greek program
- No decision today on ECB executive board vacancy
- ‘Underdramatic' eurogroup meeting in Brussels today
- No desicions on Spain, Portugal at todays meeting
- Portugal doing quite well, Spain has some problems
March 12, 2012 11:30 AM
Greg Michalowski speaking in Madrid at The Trading Room
Greg Michalowski speaking in Madrid at The Trading Room
March 12, 2012 11:23 AM
Dow trading in the narrowest trading range in almost a year
The 43 point trading range is indicative of a non trending market. Non trending transitions into trending -eventually. Traders will be watching for a break and momentum but that might still take some time.
March 12, 2012 11:04 AM
USDCAD between the Goal Posts
The USDCAD moved above the 100 hour MA and entered back between the Goal Posts as defined by the 100 and 200 hour MAs. The price has upside resistance against the 100 hour MA and 50% resistance agaisnt the 0.9947-50 area. On the downside, the 0.9929 and the 200 hour MA at the 0.9924 are support levels. The bulls and bears fight it out when the MA are spread apart. It is a neutral zone for traders. Typically, the price action stall between the levels until the market decides the directional bias for the pair.
March 12, 2012 10:36 AM
USDCAD moves toward 100 hour MA
The USDCAD has broken above the 200 hour MA and is heading up toward the 100 hour MA as it enters back in between the "goal posts" as defined by the 100 and 200 hour MAs. The 100 hour MA comes in at the 0.9951 level. Just before that level is the 0.9947 level where the 50% of the move down from last Wednesday's high to the low on Friday comes in. I would expect sellers against the level on the first test, with stops on a break higher. Look for support at 0.9924-29 now (200 hour MA and 38.2% retracement)
March 12, 2012 10:22 AM
NZDJPY falls below 200 hour MA
The NZDJPY has fallen below the 200 hour MA after spending most of the last few days above the flattening moving average. The move above the 200 hour MA (at 67.14) on Thursday should have led to further upside momentum - and it did - but that momentum could not be sustained and the move below the level has taken some of the bullishness away from the bulls. Traders will be watching the 200 hour MA today to see if the sellers have the strength to stay in charge. That strength will be reflected in a subsequent move below the 38.2% of the move up from last week (at 66.92) and then the 100 hour MA at the 66.745 level currently.
March 12, 2012 9:54 AM
FXDD TRADERS COURSE This Tuesday at 4:00PM edt.
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March 12, 2012 9:23 AM
Week ahead in Forex Trading starting now with Greg and Shawn
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